Run Away Train

Yet another in an already long and ever lengthening list of affronts and outright subversion to the Constitution of the United States was perpetrated by the berserker regime of the Obama administration last week.

For context, let me quote the First Amendment to the Constitution, the primary protection of freedoms that we as Americans were bequeathed by the Founders:

Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.

“Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof…”

Those words are clear. There is no “except” clause there, no room for good intentions, no vacancy for vacillation on this issue. No law “prohibiting the free exercise thereof…”

The recent Health & Human Services requirement forcing all Catholic and other religion based employers to provide mandatory coverage for abortions and sterilization on demand for their employees is a direct attempt by this administration to undermine the freedoms guaranteed by the First Amendment to all Americans; a fundamental transformation of America as promised by our current sitting—or golfing, or vacationing—President.

Technically speaking, this is not a law passed directly by Congress.
But, because our grift-resentatives in that august body have continually abdicated their law-making responsibility and outsourced the details and the implementation to an ever growing list of onerous regulatory agencies, the regulations imposed by those agencies have the force of law. And, this new requirement has a direct correlation to the unconstitutional health care law passed by Congress two years ago.

When government begins to regulate matters of faith and conscience it has overstepped its bounds as established by our Constitution and our history.

If we allow this breach of contract with the American people from this administration, where will such breaches stop? If they can so directly attack the primary foundation of our freedoms, how will they ever be stopped if not now? The usurpation of choice and the concentration of power are the sole achievements of any government throughout the history of mankind. That’s what government does and we cannot allow it to happen here.

Catholic or not, now is the time for all freedom loving Americans to make their voices heard. We cannot compromise on our precious liberties lest we find ourselves on a high-speed railway to tyranny.

The continued freedom of the American people is in jeopardy. The fundamental change promised and embraced by the current occupant of the White House is contrary to the American way of life and in direct violation of the Constitution of the United States. We cannot allow this to continue. If you’ve not read the Constitution or just the Bill of Rights in awhile, may I respectfully suggest you do so. If we do not fiercely guard our liberties we will lose them. We are well on the way with this administration.

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Further Reading
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Obama Scam Paves Way for Abortion Mandate

Political Reality Behind HHS Mandate

Obama’s War Against Catholics

Letter to HHS from concerned Senators

Who’s your candidate?

If you’ve been following the GOP candidate debates and aren’t sure who to throw your support behind yet, here’s a little quiz that might help you decide.Might leave you scratching your head in consternation, too.

Reason.com — The Quiz

Also, at Reason.com is a brief profile on all of the current GOP candidates.

Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act

18 months ago, the political representatives of the American people passed an odious piece of legislation magnanimously titled The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. Prior to its passage, we were told by then Speaker of Our House, Nancy Pelosi that we would have to wait until the bill was passed to see what was in it. This statement alone should be enough to have the bill declared unconstitutional, regardless of its contents. It should cause all freedom loving Americans to rise up and demand that it be repealed. Any politician making such a statement should be immediately subjected to a Congressional investigation for ethics and questioned on their subversive tendencies. One would hope that the constituents of the offending politician’s jurisdiction would arise and call for the resignation and subsequent special election for the replacement of that departing mis-representative.

Unfortunately, thus far, none of this has been the case. We rush ever forward to full implementation of this invasive, intrusive, inquisitorial attempt to legislate every aspect of the lives of Americans.

If this bill, now law, is allowed to stand, the Federal Government’s creep into the private affairs of the lives of every American will be metamorphosed into a headlong rush to cessation of the rights of individuals.

Apart from the individual mandate that requires every American able to do so to purchase health care—a case of Congress grossly misappropriating powers through willing and eager circumvention of the Commerce Clause, and thus unconstitutional—this law will allow the government to control virtually every aspect of our lives.

Take, for instance, the 30 million or more people currently unwilling, or unable to obtain health insurance on their own. Most, if not all of these individuals will be placed into one of the government subsidized medical coverage plans, most likely medicaid. As with all government entitlements, this program is funded by the tax payers which translates to another reduction in personal income.

Most businesses with 50 or more employees will be forced to pay out additional capital to help fund coverage for these people. Or at least to help defer the costs of the additional bureaucracies created to oversee compliance, eligibility, treatment, record keeping, disbursement and favored political standing. Regardless of the final distribution of these funds, the end result is a reduction of operating capital for these affected businesses. Less capital equals less innovation, less expansion, less employment, less business. Basic economics in action.

In the future, as additional efforts to control costs become necessary, those that represent us in government will find it an easy step to pass new laws regarding every aspect of our lives, all conveniently wrapped in justifying reducing health care costs, both real and potential. Cars will need to be safer. Food will need to be healthier. Air will need to be cleaner. Compliance will need to be policed. In short, government interference across the entire spectrum of individual choice.

I for one do not care to have unbridled reform and rampant regulation become the norm. Yet, if the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act is allowed to become a permanent fixture in the law of the land, that is exactly where we are headed.

Dark Age (reprise)

Though the last post I made, Dark Age was a near-term tale of speculative fiction, the following information is straight from the source, presented here for you to draw your own conclusions. Maybe we can put together an anthology of speculative fiction.

The following table is an excerpt from the Social Security Administration’s own website.

The numbers listed here are in thousands, meaning 222 is 222,000, and 43,498 is actually 43,498,000.

Year Employed Beneficiaries Ratio
1996 143,909 43,498 3.3
1997 146,736 43,792 3.3
1998 149,692 44,075 3.4
1999 152,453 44,366 3.4
2000 155,295 45,166 3.4
2001 155,546 45,668 3.4
2002 154,894 46,176 3.3
2003 154,954 46,752 3.3
2004 156,900 47,367 3.3
2005 159,081 48,133 3.3
2006 161,852 48,863 3.3
2007 163,057 49,603 3.3
2008 162,485 50,420 3.2
2009 156,021 51,860 3
2010 156,725 53,398 2.9

As of last year, every two people paying into the system are paying the benefits for 9 other people. For contrast, here are the same numbers from three of the ten years between 1940 and 1950:

Year Employed Beneficiaries Ratio
1940 35,390 222 159.4
1945 46,390 1,106 41.9
1950 48,280 2,930 16.5

Obviously, the ratio of workers to beneficiaries has been in free fall mode since then, hitting 3:3 in 2009. If I remember my junior high school math correctly, a ratio of 3:3 can also be expressed as 1:1, meaning every person currently employed and paying into Social Security is paying to support someone else who is receiving benefits. The 2010 ratio of 2:9 is clear indication that this system is not only broken, but utterly unsustainable.

The trustees of the Social Security Administration have also acknowledged this in their recent report. This acknowledgement is not buried hundreds of pages in, as if expecting it to be missed or glossed over. Rather, it is in the opening paragraphs of the overview, on the first page of text in their report. You can read it for yourself at http://www.ssa.gov/oact/tr/2011/tr2011.pdf. Their recommendation is for an increase of the mandatory withholding taken from every paycheck. Their proposed increase is greater than 2% and is listed as a short term fix. Small band-aid might be a better term.

Dark Age Anthology submissions can be made here at Unofficial View.

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Just for fun, to see how much you could sock away for your retirement, here are two calculators to help. I used the amount mandatorily deducted from my paycheck for my current contribution to Social Security. The numbers were … surprising is probably a mild term.

Compound Interest Calculator

Roth 401k

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Dark Age

It was bound to happen. Sooner or later, the hammer comes crashing down and even the most stubborn nail is driven into submission, or bent so badly as to be completely marginalized in its purpose. I too, have been marginalized. By my reckoning, I have only a short time to live, but in this brief timespan, I hope to share with you my story, or at least some of the pertinent aspects of it. Hopefully, in a few dozen years, or a few hundred, whenever the gathering winds of freedom have attained hurricane force once again, my story can provide some comfort, some solace or some inspiration to those trying desperately to obliterate the colossal structures of tyranny.

I have been in hiding or on the run for the last twenty years. There have been a few close calls, but an opportunity for escape always presented itself. Not this time. The road has reached its end in a cul-de-sac and there will be no more running possible.

As it turned out, World War III, though devastatingly brutal, was not Armageddon. That came a bit later. After Social Security was finally declared defunct in 2021, massive changes swept the world, paralleling the worst case scenarios of the gloomiest doomsayers of old. Following a third downgrade of its credit rating, the US defaulted on its sovereign debt—an incomprehensible $24T. That number is roughly equivalent to $63,000 per citizen, regardless of age. Needless to say, the dollar collapsed and destroyed most of the rest of the developed world’s currencies in the process. Chaos reigned supreme.

Unemployment, at the time hovering around 14% in the US, soared, doubling and then tripling that within two years. Martial Law was declared early in 2024 as a feeble attempt to regain control of the downward spiraling double-helix of humanity and the economy. Through misapplication of the Commerce Clause in the US Constitution, the Federal Government annexed all of the nation’s business and then virtually erased the Constitution and all the protections it sought to offer the citizens of the country. Individualism and initiative died.

With the government setting prices for goods and services of all descriptions, skyrocketing prices on food and most other necessities of life stabilized, but only briefly. The smoke and mirrors of government control of supply and distribution fell prey quickly to the realities of shortages, cost overruns and bureaucratic morass. The manufacturing sector was the first to go, followed almost immediately by the few remaining entities in the financial sector. The cost of living began its upward surge again. Higher prices generally meant even less business and brought a new round of workforce-wide layoffs. It became a vicious, self-sustaining, perpetual motion machine of slow, all consuming destruction. The lights went out, most of them anyway, in 2026. The world had entered another dark age.

There were pockets of resistance to the revocation of freedom and evisceration of liberties, many at first, but continually dwindling under constant government assault through lengthy prohibitions and increased regulations and when those did not work to circumscribe the behaviors of the offending groups, frequent use of military intervention and deadly force. I sojourned among the inhabitants of these castaway outposts for years, spending as much time as I could with each of them, moving to the next when expedient. Together, we fought the oppressor’s hand, driving him back and gaining a brief respite on occasion. All too often, though, we were driven from our stake, forced again into hiding or retreating just to survive; stragglers running to the next safe haven.

As far as I am aware, this is the last enclave. It is here, today, that we will make our final stand. It has been a long war, but I fear, that this day will be my last battle. I have been their primary target since this war began. The forces arrayed against me and those here that stand with me have become too powerful, all permeating, unrelenting. Though I have been hounded for years and called despicable, scathing names by those that fear me.and branded as evil by those that seek to destroy me, to my friends, I am known as Liberty.

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Notes:

Short-Range Results
The assets of the OASI Trust Fund and of the combined OASI and DI Trust Funds are projected to be adequate over the next 10 years under the intermediate assumptions. However, the assets of the DI Trust Fund are projected to steadily decline under the intermediate assumptions, and would fall below 100 percent of annual cost by the beginning of 2013 and continue to decline until the trust fund is exhausted in 2018. The DI Trust Fund does not satisfy the short-range test of financial adequacy, which requires that the trust fund remain above 100 percent of annual cost throughout the short-range period.

Source: Social Security Trustees Report, Overview Section

Also in the Overview are some interesting recommendations from the Trustees to “fix” the very real issues with the Social Security Ponzi scheme. Such as a greater than 2% increase in withholdings and a reduction in benefits. Sounds to me like “What we’re doing isn’t working, so let’s do it some more and see it that changes anything.”

the Unofficialview Weekly Updates for 2011-08-21

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the Unofficialview Weekly Updates for 2011-08-07

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Crib Notes

As of yesterday, June 28th, the Federal Government has implemented new laws regarding the manufacture, sale, and resale of baby cribs. These new federal regulations make it illegal to build, sell, or even garage sale a baby crib with drop down sides.

From the Washington Post:
New crib regulations ban cribs with drop down sides

Presumably, under the jurisdiction of providing for the “general welfare” of the people clause (Article 1 Section-8) in the US Constitution, Congress felt the need to intervene in yet another facet of our lives. You would think that such a law encompassing such sweeping changes to an entire industry, would be based on a significant number of reported problems or consumer lawsuits, and could possibly be justified under the general welfare clause if that were the case.

Apparently, that depends upon your definition of “significant number”.

In this case, that number is 30. 30 deaths since 2000, or 3 deaths per year. In the year 2007 alone, there were 4,317,119 babies born in the US. According to: about .com there is a trend of about 4,000.000 babies born in this country every year since 2000. 4 million a year multiplied by 10 years is 40,000,000 babies.

30 deaths over 10 years and 40.000.000 babies. To find out what percentage of baby deaths are caused by these cribs, we divide 40,000,000 (the number of babies born here over 10 years) into 30 (the number of deaths attributed to drop-side cribs) and get .000075%–less than 1/10,000 of a percent! Yep, that’s a significant number if I ever heard one.

In 2007, alone there were 10 children that drowned in swimming pools in the city of Phoenix and its suburbs. See the full report here. This number is about average over the last 29 years that I have lived here. That means that in the same 10 year period between 2000 and 2010, 100 children have drowned in swimming pools in just this county. If we are to follow the logic—and I use the term loosely—of Congress with the baby cribs, the Federal Government should have outlawed swimming pools decades ago. They are simply far too dangerous, ranging to hundreds or thousands of times more so than the now outlawed baby cribs, and through the general welfare provision of the Constitution, and Congress’ latest perversion of it, swimming pools present far too great a hazard to children and no further permits to build them should be issued, ever. Anywhere. All those in existence should be filled in, covered over and converted into organic gardens.

Perhaps we should outlaw bathtubs as well, or better yet, baths for children altogether since there are more drowning deaths in the US in bathtubs each year than there are deaths caused by these cribs.

I am not trying to trivialize the deaths of these children. I know first hand the trauma of a baby’s death. My wife and I lost a son several years ago, just hours after his birth. But, to pass sweeping changes that affect the entire baby products industry, not to mention the convenience factor for parents on less than 1/10,000% of instances smacks of extreme overreach and smells of pandering for votes.

Today’s reading list:

Stimulus didn’t fail—it was just misunderstood. Yeah… that’s it. Part II.

Read Part I.

The chart inset below is directly from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. You can see the original pdf that it is a part of simply by clicking on the image.

unemployment numbers mostly downBasically, it is a graph of unemployment numbers for the previous two years. If you add up the numbers across the chart labeled “Chart 2″, you can easily see that over the two year period in which the President said his stimulus bill would create jobs, there is actually a net loss of ~2,400,000 jobs. Which means that in effect, we (that’s “we” the taxpayers) paid almost a trillion dollars to lose almost 2 and 1/2 million jobs. That’s effective.

Again, remember he stated it as definitive with absolutely no qualifiers. Maybe he should have said “we expect this influx of your taxpayer dollars to create 3.5 million jobs”. That way, if expectations were not met (as they have not been) it would be an easy thing to claim that they were simply projections based on the best available evidence at the time. But he did not say that. He said that his plan would create 3.5 million jobs over the next two years.

“Sorry, Chief. Missed it by that much.” Only a couple million.

But, as stated in The Stimulus Didn’t Fail. It Was Just Misunderstood, Part 1 of this article, this stimulus bill was not about creating jobs. The title alone tells us that: American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. The majority of the President’s speech, and as shown earlier, the majority of the tremendous trillions of taxpayer dollars was targeted at the reinvestment aspects.

These aspects are core components of the President’s ongoing agenda, to increase government presence in and oversight of the lives of American citizens. See Because You’re Not Smart for further discussion on this. Some of the things he mentioned were taxpayer provided health care, government subsidized broadband Internet service to every home in America and federally funded high-speed rail to “bring the country together.” All of these, of course, were wrapped in the traditional green package as is normal with this administration, and all of them are staples of the President’s many speeches.

Let’s look at just one of the President’s pet projects: high-speed rail. He has mentioned this frequently since the speech in Denver. This strikes me, at best, as a make fake-work (government created jobs!) program, and at worst, a black hole to pour more and more resources into with little to no hope of ever gaining a return. What would a farmer in Iowa, standing in his cornfield—to reference the 2011 SOTU speech—want or need from a high speed rail running through what used to be his land before the government confiscated it through the use of eminent domain?

What’s wrong with government run programs? Amtrak, the Post Office, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and on ad infinitum—the list of broken, inefficient, wasteful government run programs goes on and on. We don’t need, nor want any more.

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Further Reading:

At the WSJ
Speaker of the House

Stimulus didn’t fail, it was just misunderstood. Yeah… that’s it.

Fail –verb (used without object)
1.
to fall short of success or achievement in something expected, attempted, desired, or approved:
(dictionary.com)

Before you do anything else, you really should read the full transcript (transcript at cnn.com) of the President’s speech from Denver on February 17, 2009; the day he signed the Stimulus, or as he called it, the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act. Only after reading the President’s speech or listening to it or watching it here on youtube, or any of the locations here from a listing of Google search results, can we have a common starting point on this subject. The links above (in most cases) should open in a new tab or browser window so you can return here easily after the refresher.

I hope you took the time to read the transcript or watch the videos. At around 0:52 in the first video I linked to, the President says that this bill “will create or save 31/2 million jobs”. And less than a hundred words later, he says that 400,000 Americans would be put to work on what were supposed to be massive infrastructure improvements and enhancements.

Now, I’m not not certain if that 400,000 were part of the original 3.5 million number, or in addition to, but, to give the President the benefit of the doubt, we’ll assume that they were in addition to. And, because it’s an easier number for my old head to work with, we’ll take that 3.5 million plus the 4k – 3.9 million total, and round that number up to 4 million.

If I remember my high school math correctly, 4,000,000 out of 150,000,000 (approximate number of workers in the country in 2009) equates to a job for roughly 2.5 or 2.6 percent of the eligible work force. Were the bill just about jobs, the failure aspect would be non-debatable. Only 4M jobs at a total cost of nearly $800,000,000,000 ($800T) would amount to each job costing about $200,000,000 to create.

It should also be obvious from the above numbers, that the $800T price tag of the stimulus bill is way out of line for creating anything shy of hundreds of millions of jobs: Reverse the numbers — 200,000,000 jobs would have cost $4,000,000 a piece.

The President, had big (gargantuan might be another word) plans when he signed the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act into law, and the majority of his speech on that day in February in Denver is not about jobs. The President dedicated only 4 paragraphs of his speech to the topic. One paragraph per millions of jobs potentially saved or created, I guess.

The bulk of this tremendous redistribution of taxpayer money was slated for things like extended unemployment and health care benefits and underwriting new entitlements (cnn transcript, P2, last para – P3, para 2); things like teachers’ salaries (14,000 in New York City alone – P2, para 5); things like seed money for the President’s personal favorite topic (other than teachers’ salaries): green energy companies (P3, para 3).

So, now we have a framework, a basis of what was in the speech. Let’s focus, for the moment on one of the first things the President said:

What makes this recovery plan so important is not just that it will create or save 3½ million jobs over the next two years…

It’s been two years. Unemployment is higher today than it was two years ago, based on the government’s own numbers. There have not been the 3 or 4 million jobs created that the President said would happen. Not might, not could, but would.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, unemployment stood at 8.1% in February of ’09. In April of 2011, the rate was 9.0%; for the entire year, 2010, unemployment was pegged by that same Bureau at 9.6%! (See the sidebar on the Bureau’s website under Annual Averages).

The stimulus failed to deliver on more than just jobs. The country is $3,000,000,000,000 ($3T) deeper in debt than we were in February of 2009. That’s the wrong direction.

Suppose that you are interviewing me for a job… a marketing position with your company. During the course of the interview, I assure you that I can increase your net sales by 10% in one year. Did I succeed if I only hit 6% in that year? What if I hit 10%, but it takes me 16 months? Did I succeed in that instance? Any honest, objective assessment would have to conclude that no, I did not succeed in either instance. That means I failed, and only semantic contortions and linguistic gymnastics can change that fact.

The stimulus was a failure. Read more in Part II.

So, where did all that money go? We’ll discuss that in an upcoming column.

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http://www.speaker.gov/Blog/default.aspx?postid=225697

http://waysandmeans.house.gov/UploadedFiles/Stimulus_Final_Report_Jan_2011_final.pdf